As INT hustles through the stages of early development and marketing, we find ourselves in a conundrum where the combination of low INT price + lower IFT emissions + lack of exposure has turned the lottery into a “farmers only” game for extracting EV.
The lottery is of course designed to be profitable for ticket buyers (to an extent), but because of everything listed above, the appetite of casual lottery participants has diminished to the point where only farmers are participating and hurting the protocol because of weekly IFT burn+dumps.
This nasty combination of low lottery participation and bleeding INT price is creating a negative feedback loop that will continue to compound until we spark interest in lottery participants and/or INT investors.
We (the multi-sig) believe a solution for this is to run a temporary campaign where the multis-sig steps into the arena of ticket farming and participates heavily in accumulating IFTs and trying to win the grand prize (for weekly roll-overs)
To be very clear: The purpose of this is to slow down sell pressure on INT while simultaneously “building the pot” for the lottery every week. A biproduct is the DAO will have a large chance at winning the grand prize and will also accumulate “lucky hands” IFTs. This will allow us to “roll over” funds for the following week’s grand prize and also have IFTs for giveaways and marketing
Based on past results, my personal experience, and math+strategies discussed here, i suggest that the multisig chooses 1 of these 3 options:
- Buy 2000 tickets ($10k ETH and $10k INT estimated 20 IFTs returned and ~80% chance of winning the Grand)
- Buy 1500 tickets ($7.5k ETH and $7.5k INT: estimated 15 IFTs returned and ~60% chance of winning the Grand)
- Buy 1200 tickets ($6k ETH and $6k INT: estimated 12 IFTs returned and ~48% chance of winning the Grand)
*it is worth noting that using a combination of 50/50 ETH/INT to buy tickets is completely price NEUTRAL and the DAO is essentially trading some ETH for INT in a pseudo “buy-back” that also generates EV for the treasury in the form of lotto tickets
I think a solid plan is to anticipate we do this for at least 3 weeks (until the end of 25 IFT/week emissions) and then reassess based on market/project developments)
I personally think more tickets sooner is better and we should “reverse-martingale” our farming in an attempt to win the Grand early on and start weekly roll overs asap to coincide with future marketing campaigns. But in general any option listed above should do a sufficient job of relieving sell pressure and building the prizepool
As far as the “how”, the easiest way to do this is for one of the multisig holders to be sent funds for farming and then upon completion send the tickets+excess eth back to the multisig